Read the headlines of any news paper in India and you would find news reading like a crime docket.
- Naxalites attack in some district
- Maharashtrians demanding Mumbai
- Telangana separate state demands
- Mass migration of manpower from impoverished states of BIMARU
What could be the cause of so much violence in this once peaceful country. What is the cause of angst of the youth and not so young of this country which is making them take to arms and kill (remember killing another human being, of whatever faith, is against the tenet of most religions being practiced in India).
Even if one were to go back in the pre-Independence India armed rebellion against the British was raised by few and far between. Freedom fighters in that sense are hard to find and one usually falters after Azad, Bhagat Singh, Bismil, Rajguru and Sukhdev and may be one Netaji and his INA, formed from the PoWs captured by Japan. Later bunch were professional soldiers trained to fight.
Cause of most battles, rebellion or uprising in the world has been Wealth and Territory, some may argue Women in the sense of possession, but we would focus on the first two. In light of the historical statement if one were to look at the growth pattern of India on the geographic map of India with the plotted districts for Naxalite (Armed Uprising) movements. Some facts stand out.
- Little to no naxalite activity in areas
- In and around Delhi, Haryana and Punjab
- Mostly Western part of India is free of any Armed rebellion.
- Eastern part of India including states like Chattisgarh, Bihar, West Bengal, Orissa and Eastern part of UP are infested with armed activity.
- Any such activity is again notably absent from the Western part of UP, which was notorious for criminal activity.
- Economically Developed Areas
- In and around Delhi, Haryana and Punjab
- Mostly Western part of India namely Maharashtra, Gujarat.
- Down South – Bengaluru, Chennai and large part of Kerala
- Western UP – NOIDA, Gaziabad, Meerut etc.
I would like to draw the attention of the reader that the above two list are a reflection of each other in large parts. Let us park this fact here –
That lack of economic development has resulted into discontent and disillusionment with the polity that has led to armed civilian action.
Let us come to the second part of the problem
- There has been large scale of migration from Naxal affected areas to developed areas. One only has to venture out on the streets of a Mumbai or Delhi or a Ahmadabad to come across accents and language that immediately divulge the origin of the worker. Most of the migrants are working as menial laborer either pulling Riksha or doing household chores if not an unskilled construction worker.
- In recent times one also finds that educated people like Doctors, Engineers or graduates are also moving on to developed areas. More and more people are travelling to say a Delhi to write the Railways or Banks entrance exams. MNCs or large Indian companies are hiring across the country and not just the local population of the city.
- Three cities mostly impacted by the influx (though I don’t have the data to substantiate) are Bangalore, Delhi and Mumbai.
- The response from these cities is very different to immigrants
- Bangalore – had some sporadic incidents in the past, which died down possibly due to lack of support from locals. Also to do with the fact that Bangalore has always had a mixed bag culture due to concentration of Public Sectors, Armed Forces and Education Institutions.
- Delhi – Being the capital of country has always had confluence of people from varied parts of the country and the world and migration has never real been a issue with locals – who see themselves as migrants largely from what is today Pakistan.
- Mumbai – the largest city in the country is where there is discontent over the migrant population. There are groups of politicians on the streets and professionals on blogs and social media asking for restoration of Mumbai to Marathi speaking. Some numbers based on Economic Survey of Maharashtra 2008-09
- i. Marathi speaking population has declined from 76% to 69% in 30 years
- ii. Number of people citing Hindi as mother tongue has risen to 11% from 5%
- iii. 12.39 L people moved to Maharashtra in the time period and 10.74 L settled in urban areas
- iv. During the same period 22.62 L people moved from rural to urban Maharashtra
Another fact which is being borne out is that while the influx has been there in the three cities. Violent reactions are coming from Mumbai the financial capital of India. Mumbai as a city is facing influx from Maharashtra rural as well as migrant population from other states.
The third part is the demands for separate statehoods from various parts of states. This is being led as people perceive inequality of development across the state and thus leading to unequal development due to narrow political considerations.
Telengana is the latest movement to gain visibility though in the past there have been such actions from other parts of India also. Existence and creation of states such as Chattisgarh, Jharkhand and Uttranchal bear fruit to such movements.
Why these cross state movements are happening?
We have all been witness to the great brain drain of the 70s and 80s when we saw migration of educated elite – the engineers and doctors to greener pastures of Western world and movement of semi skilled and unskilled to Middle East. All these movements were driven by the desire for higher earning potential and were due to lack of good opportunity back home. Marathis, Kannadigas, Tamilians and sundry other Indian ethnic origin people migrated in droves.
Visions of better prospects and higher earnings were created by English language movies and aided by the uncle/cousin/neighbor returning home bearing news of sky scrapers, big cars, better living conditions, access to schooling and fancy chocolates.
Still for the average Joe/Jai, it was an unassailable dream which was reserved for the brilliant few with academic excellence. Average person was content with his 9 to 5 job at the nearest Bank or Railways or Telecom or Electricity Board. For him car was aspirational to be bought in mid forties and house was a bigger dream usually associated with retirement.
Come the 90s and we had the economic as well as Infotainment revolution.
Economic revolution brought about advent of companies ready to pay top notch in India. Fancier options were thrown open to the “masses” in India itself. Multinational jobs came with fancy perquisites like cars, company leased accommodation, 5 star hotel travel benefits, foreign jaunts and of course, higher and better salaries. Civil Services, Public Sectors and Government sector were no longer the aspiration. One moved from Ambassador to Maruti/Hyundai/Toyota/Ford as car of choice.
While the job market was going through a radical change, another change was happening, this one on the media waves. Door Darshan was giving way to soap opera dishing 24 hour channels with their fancy dramas and even fancier lifestyles. These soaps showcased the metro living as a constant war between managing a fancy home, fancy car and a fancier noodle strapped wife while dabbling with the mini skirted secretary cum mistress.
In keeping with the times, movies of the day also showcased the village bumpkin making the millionaire heiress fall for him; or a villager coming up the hard way make it big really big in the big bad Mumbai by the sheer dint of his hard work and his simplicity.
A villager was contrasting all these on his panchayat television, of course when there was electricity, contrasting it with his own tryst with destiny running around for basic amenities of water, food, clothing and shelter.
And, all this happening not in a far off land of opportunity but right here in “Aamchi Mumbai”. All one had to do was reach out and grab the fruits by taking the next train to VT station. More adventurous took the train to Mumbai, a few took to the guns and the rest are still waiting for salvation.
This led to the migration to the land of opportunity for the not so fortunate from within the state and outside of the states. Mumbai being the city projected in most of the media became the city of attraction and opportunity for most migrants. Delhi was perceived to be the city of politicos and babus and Bangalore was the city of geeks. Still migration happened to these cities and these days it is as easy to find a hindi speaking auto driver in Bangalore as in Delhi.
Migration was happening from areas devoid of any development and hope but the situation in these cities is also not ideal. Most of these cities have infrastructure bursting at the seams and opportunities are not at rampant as it may seem from outside. It is a classic case of Demand exceeding supply by a magnitude.
Migrants started competing with the locals for the less skilled jobs of drivers, labor and administrative roles in organization. They also started competing for government jobs in Railways etc. thus increasing competition for the locals. And the locals started losing a fair share to the migrants thus creating dissatisfaction amongst the locals on their jobs being usurped by the migrant.
Question can be asked on why the ire is on linguistic basis and not against ALL migrants? It is a simple matter of finding the commonality amongst the migrant and a differentiating point of reference from them that lead to language being the factor. Once this goal is met with the next goal would be to find another factor of say district domicile which would be raised as a cause of concern.
Is there a Solution?
As we can trace the problem to the past the solution can also be pulled from past.
Marathis who are today complaining about the Hindi migrants to Mumbai were migrating in droves from Maharashtra to employ with State Banks all over the country. Why just Marathi there was cross country migration. It was no surprise to find a Bihari engineer, Marathi Banker, Tamil beaurocrat and a Bengali Professor in MP.
At that point concerns about cultural amalgamation were never raised and one can even today come across various regional festivals being celebrated in total harmony in various parts of India. Examples are Ganesh Puja, Durga Utsav to name a couple. Even the food got assimilated, now you could have the same household dishing out Dosas, Paneers, Pav Bhajis and Chakalis.
It was commonly understood that people will learn the local language while retaining their mother tongue. No one faulted the other and there was harmony in the opportunity or access/lack of access to opportunity. There was no regional divide.
As we discussed in the initial part of this article, there is opportunity existing in only specific “islands” and hence the locals want to protect the turf, while to others have righteous indignation about access to the opportunity.
Solution lies in taking these opportunities to masses, rather than let the masses come to the centers. There has been some work done to take the education to the various parts of the country through opening of Engineering and Management Schools being started. We now boast of Engineering graduates from various sections and geographies, it would be interesting to see how many of them are being gainfully employed without a prejudice to benefits on offer in their home states or towns.
We have seen a lower percentage of Indian students opting to leave the shores for employment due to opportunities being generated in India. Similarly if there was a equitable distribution of businesses to happen in country across various states it would arrest the migration across the country and also cater to the overall development of the country while not straining the resources of one city/state. This also ties in with the demographic changes the country will face in next 2 decades, more and more of the employable population of the country, between 20 and 40 years of age would be from the North and East of India. West and South of India would have a median age of 35 years, it would be the North which would be in mid 20s and would be available to fill the void which would happen in the rest of the world including China.
It is upto the politicos and business men of the country to take advantage of the available resources to ensure continued economic growth of the country while also resolving the dissent. Once the opportunity for gainful employment is there, these armed struggles would lose the resource pool.